December 2025 REPORT
Year-End Labor Softness Continues on Main Street
Key findings:
- Employees Working (-0.9%) and Hours Worked (-0.6%) declined in December, extending November’s sharp pullback to a 3.6% cumulative two-month contraction.
- The Midwest saw the steepest regional impact, with Businesses Open down 1.9%, while the West experienced more modest declines.
- Discretionary industries softened, led by Hospitality (-3.9%), while Caregiving (+0.9%) grew and Retail remained near flat (+0.1%).
- Wages rose 0.6%, reaching 42.9% cumulative growth since January 2022, even as Hiring (-7.7%) and Turnover (-6.1%) fell, signaling reduced labor churn as businesses manage costs into 2026.

September 2025 REPORT
Main Street Holds Steady as Seasonal Contraction Continues
Key findings:
- Employee participation fell -3.6% and hours worked -4.7%, reflecting the typical late-summer pullback.
- Entertainment (-21.4%) and Hospitality (-10.7%) drove industry losses; Medical/Veterinary ticked up slightly.
- Wages rose across all sectors, now nearly 40% higher than early 2022.
- Hiring eased after August’s surge, while turnover stayed elevated compared to 2024 levels.
















