National view
Consistent with what we saw in mid-February, Homebase’s three key Main Street Health Metrics continued to show a positive trend compared to January of 2022.
Volatility in our Main Street Health Metrics, however, is still
elevated compared to the pre-pandemic period, as indicated in the graph below.
State and regional view
In most regions and states, hours worked in mid-March 2022 were modestly lower than the hours worked in mid-February 2022. Declines were largely attributable to challenging comparisons as mid-February 2022 was particularly strong as the economy emerged and bounced back from Omicron.
Similarly, most top 50 MSAs saw a month-over-month decrease in employees
working and hours worked. These decreases are largely attributable to the notable
strength observed in these measures in mid-February given the bounce-back from
Omicron.
Industry view
As Omicron faded and people sought recreation and amusement outside the home, hours worked by employees increased in entertainment, food & drink, and hospitality. Hospitality showed notable strength as it outperformed the corresponding period in 2019.
How has Homebase data been validated?We’ve partnered with a number of academics, researchers, and policymakers to validate and improve our data. Here are a few examples:
- The St. Louis Federal Reserve suggested that Homebase data could be predictive of the jobs reports
- Researchers at Drexel used Homebase data to estimate the “true” employment level
- A team at UChicago and Berkeley used Homebase data to show disparate impacts across different groups
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Jason Greenberg
Jason Greenberg is the Head Economist at homebase. Prior to joining Homebase, Jason served as an academic at the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School of Business and New York University's Stern School of Business. Jason's academic research has been acknowledged with several awards and media coverage. Jason earned a PhD from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, MPP from the University of Chicago, MA from the University of Florida, and BA from SUNY Binghamton.
Remember: This is not legal advice. If you have questions about your particular situation, please consult a lawyer, CPA, or other appropriate professional advisor or agency.